Financial Strategy
Message from the CFO

Message from the CFO - Financial Strategy Message from the CFO - Financial Strategy

Credit Saison has always had a desire to accelerate our growth. Since 2010, we have spent a considerable amount of time and effort addressing issues such as the revision of the Money Lending Business Act, overpaid interest, and even the replacement of our core systems. A major factor that forced us to devote our resources to overcoming our immediate management issues was that we were in a situation wherewe were almost solely dependent on our Payment Business. Over the past 10-plus years, we have overcome challenges and while strengthening our foundation as a company, we have developed our Finance Business as a second pillar and our Global Business as a third pillar and we have made preparations to embark on the path to growth.
 Our performance results for FY2023 clearly show that the Payment Business has recovered after undergoing structural reform, and that the Finance Business and Global Business have also clearly gained “earning power.” We have been liberated from an era where addressing issues took priority over accelerating growth, and we feel that now is the perfect time for us to start accelerating growth.

[ Main management targets ]

• Achieve the ¥70.0 billion in consolidated business profit set out in the previous Medium-term Management Plan (FY2022–FY2024) one year earlier than planned
• Build the foundation for moving to the next stage, though a capital and business alliance with Suruga Bank Ltd., growth in our Global Business and affiliated company businesses, etc.

Main management targets

Financial targets under the New Medium-term Management Plan

In the new three-year Medium-term Management Plan, announced in May this year, we set numerical targets of consolidated business profit of ¥100.0 billion and ROE of 9.5% for the final year of the Plan, FY2026. Until recently, we have stated that we aim to achieve an ROE of 10% or more over the medium to long term, but this is the first time that we have disclosed specific time frames and KPIs other than business profit publicly. We have a strong desire to demonstrate within and outside the Company a shift in our awareness and that the timing is ripe for accelerated growth. In fact, I feel that the capital markets have positively perceived us as “making significant strides” along with our ambitious target figures.
 The disclosure of our ROE target is naturally also due to our awareness of the problem that our current PBR is below 1. By aiming for the target figures for business profit and ROE, we also anticipate that we will be able to achieve our two other goals of recovering PBR to 1 or more and increasing our market capitalization to more than ¥1 trillion.
 With regard to business profit, we have set a target to increase profit from ¥71.9 billion in FY2023 to ¥100.0 billion over a three-year period. Some investors might view us as being ambitious, but we are explaining the practicality of our plans by showing the breakdown of our FY2026 business profit of ¥100.0 billion. With growth from the FY2023 results, we aim to establish three revenue pillars by expanding the Global Business by approximately ¥17.6 billion and the Finance Business and Payment Business by a scale of ¥10.0 billion each. The key to achieving numerical targets lies in our Global Business, for which we aim to expand the scale of our operations with India as our starting point. The lending business that Credit Saison operates in India has become one of the fastest-growing non-bank financial institutions in India, with its balance of receivables growing by 200% year on year in FY2023. With this Global Business as the core, we will also pursue growth in the Finance Business and Payment Business. In particular, I believe that by continuing to push forward with reforms in the Payment Business without wavering, we will be able to envision a different form of sustainable growth three years from now.

My thoughts on capital efficiency

[ Approaches to realizing management with awareness of capital costs and the share price ]

With regard to capital efficiency, we have spent a considerable amount of time discussing this, even in the process of formulating the New Medium-term Management Plan. This was based on both maintaining sustainable growth while using capital effectively and being aware of the appropriate scale of capital. From the perspective of capital efficiency, what is important is the improvement of ROE. At the end of FY2023, our ROE was 8.3% on a basis excluding negative goodwill and we estimate our cost of capital to be around the high 8%–11% range. The reason for having a range for the cost of capital is to take into account the rise in the risk-free rate accompanying an economic recovery, the increase in dividends in line with improvements in business performance and growth potential, and the expected value of stock prices. However, in our discussions about improving capital efficiency and ROE, we have determined that a target level of 9.5% ROE over the next three years is appropriate. This is not a figure that can be achieved overnight, but we believe it is attainable if each business division firmly focuses on profit margins and works to improve its earning power.
 For non-bank companies like Credit Saison, the business model requires companies to accumulate assets in order to make a profit, so improving asset efficiency is crucial.
 We believe that in order to improve asset efficiency, it is necessary to reduce assets with low productivity, so in our New Medium-term Management Plan we have set a policy of reducing our cross-shareholdings by 70%.
 Credit Saison has regularly reviewed its cross-shareholdings, and the shares we currently hold are those for which we confirmed the significance of holding in the previous fiscal year. The reason for having held these shares is that, in the process of building the Saison Partner Economic Zone, we have seen mutual shareholdings as a strategy for building relationships with partner companies that allows us to maintain a firm, albeit loose, grip on them. However, when we looked toward the future, we determined that mutual shareholdings were not essential for our partner companies in the relationships we aim to build in a loosely connected economic zone. We will strive to maintain and strengthen our relationships without mutual shareholdings.

Financial policy in a phase of rising interest rates

As a non-bank, what we absolutely cannot compromise on is the stability of our funding and not increasing our funding costs. Maintaining and improving our credit rating is extremely important in our financial policy, and we aim to maintain or improve our A rating. After implementing financial measures with the primary objective of maintaining or improving our credit rating, we will make the growth investments necessary to generate profits and maintain a solid financial position while also being mindful of asset efficiency. Our policy is to flexibly acquire treasury shares if we observe a slight buffer at the appropriate level of capital scale.
 In the coming phase of rising interest rates, it is inevitable that financial costs will increase. We view financial soundness and stability as essential to firmly support our growth opportunities from a financial perspective. As a result of our efforts to obtain long-term funding at fixed interest rates under the zero interest rate policy until recently, approximately 75% of our funds are long term, and the fixed interest rate ratio is 70%. Therefore, in the short term, even in the current phase of rising interest rates, our structure will not be significantly affected. In addition, even when looking at the gap between floating-rate liabilities and assets, floating-rate assets are currently slightly higher at this point in time, and even in a rising interest rate situation, this is having a positive effect on revenue. We recognize that it will be increasingly important to obtain funding while being mindful of costs. However, even considering our current financial situation, we believe that if we can firmly build up our earning power over the medium to long term, we will be able to achieve sustainable growth.

Our approach to growth investment

With regard to capital allocation and investment strategy, so far, we have been considering both quality and quantity. In existing businesses, we have estimates of how many growth opportunities can be expected in each area, and we have invested the necessary capital based on these estimates. In the future, we will prioritize growth investment in the Global Business, which has significant growth potential, and will invest ¥70.0 billion of the ¥80.0 billion growth investment budget in the Global Business under the New Medium-term Management Plan. Compared to the Finance Business and Payment Business, the Global Business is still positioned as a period of up-front investment, so its investment efficiency, when viewed on a single-year basis, is lower than that of domestic businesses. However, there are significant business opportunities centered on India. We are now gaining confidence that we will be able to secure these business opportunities as we have envisioned, and we are planning to actively invest capital in the New Medium-term Management Plan.
 One of the essential elements in promoting non-bank business overseas is the stable procurement of local currency. In India, our subsidiaries themselves have obtained ratings and have begun to raise funds locally. In the future, we plan to continue to select the optimal funding method for Singapore, Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia, etc., while being mindful of balancing the stable acquisition of local currencies with costs.
 With regard to the selection criteria for investment projects, we make comprehensive decisions based on factors such as strategy, objectives, and expected returns. On the other hand, when taking on new investments or business challenges, we set criteria for withdrawal in advance and try to regularly track our progress with this in mind. In fact, even if a business has been running for two or three years, if the progress is not satisfactory and the initial withdrawal criteria are met, we have a system in place that enables us to gather information on future prospects and make a decision to immediately withdraw, if necessary. In fact, there have been cases like this, and we try to determine not only the quantitative return on investment but also whether the investment is truly necessary when viewed from a long-term perspective.
 We recognize that risk management associated with investment must be further strengthened and maintained, especially as global expansion progresses. As a nonbank, Credit Saison’s assets (such as operating receivables) include future bad debt risk, etc. For this reason, we implemented risk capital management. This measures the amount of risk associated with each asset and monitors the adequacy of capital in light of that risk. Over the past several decades, the accuracy of our risk measurement has undoubtedly improved, and a solid management system has been established. On the business divisions side, we will continue to steadily increase our assets while ensuring robust management on the financial side, contributing to growth.

Shareholder returns

With regard to shareholder returns, for FY2023, in light of consolidated performance, we have set the dividend at ¥105 per share, which is ¥5 higher than the most recent dividend forecast. Although we will not change our basic policy of implementing stable and continuous dividends, in the New Medium-term Management Plan we have set a payout ratio target of 30% or more to give our stakeholders a clearer indication of the level of dividends we will pay as we grow in earning power. In addition, to optimize the amount of shareholders’ equity, we plan to flexibly implement the purchase of treasury shares worth ¥70.0 billion over a three-year period, and we intend to implement ¥50.0 billion of this in FY2024, the first year of the Medium-term Management Plan.

Dialogue with investors

Before assuming the role of CFO, I built my career in business divisions, so I might be seen as somewhat unusual in that I have no experience in finance or accounting. However, I see my ability to apply my experience in the business divisions as one of my strengths, and I look at that positively. With regard to IR activities, we see them as a means by which the corporate division can contribute to enhancing corporate value. In particular, as the components of management, including intangible assets, become more complex, we are actively and positively focusing on this with the awareness that it is important to integrate the process of value creation and turn it into a story.
 Also, what the IR team and I are always aware of is approaching dialogue on the premise that there is always a gap in awareness between the Company and our investors. We then strive to accurately grasp the thinking of the other party and to bridge the gap between the Company and our investors. Because we are not disclosing all of our ideas, it is only natural that a gap will arise. In that sense, we believe that, in IR activities, it is also effective for executives, including officers, to interact with investors themselves, and for the person in charge of each business to have the opportunity to explain their business as speakers. Until recently, we have held briefings dedicated to digital strategy and global business strategy. However, in FY2024, we plan to conduct IR for institutional investors, including those overseas, together with COO Mizuno. With regard to our business in India, which is driving the growth of Credit Saison, we are confident that we will see growth overall. However, we anticipate some bumps along the way, so we would like to increase the number of shareholders who can understand and support the Company’s leap into a different dimension stage of growth from a long-term perspective.

Message to stakeholders

In recent years, I have felt firsthand that the motivation of the people who work at the Company is filled with more excitement than ever before. This kind of atmosphere within the Company is having a positive impact on our performance. Our target of ¥100.0 billion in business profit in FY2026 is not an overly ambitious or difficult target, and we are working every day with the belief that we can achieve that target. This is precisely because, while undergoing transformation, the Company has been able to overcome the difficult times. We will continue to evolve in line with the times and changing needs, and become a company that plays a major role on the global stage. We hope to achieve growth that transcends the boundaries of everyone’s existing image of Credit Saison. We would greatly appreciate it if all of our stakeholders could continue to support us while placing their expectations on just such a vision.